An estimate of the output gap of Argentina

The potential product plays an essential role in the design and evaluation of an economic policy, and although the results obtained through the management of monetary and fiscal policy depend to a large extent on having reliable estimates, there is no consensus on the methodology of most appropriate...

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Main Author: Rodriguez, José María
Format: Online
Language:spa
Published: Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Instituto de Economía y Finanzas 2006
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/acteconomica/article/view/4024
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author Rodriguez, José María
author_facet Rodriguez, José María
author_sort Rodriguez, José María
collection Portal de Revistas
description The potential product plays an essential role in the design and evaluation of an economic policy, and although the results obtained through the management of monetary and fiscal policy depend to a large extent on having reliable estimates, there is no consensus on the methodology of most appropriate estimate. This paper intends to contribute to this discussion for the Argentine case, making an estimate of the potential product through the structural method of the production function, considering two productive factors, labor and capital, combined through a Cobb-Douglas technology. The estimate is made using the VECM approach, and the estimated potential product is applied to the calculation of the output gap for Argentina.
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spelling oai:ojs.revistas.unc.edu.ar:article-40242024-08-09T19:55:15Z An estimate of the output gap of Argentina Una estimación de la brecha del producto de Argentina Rodriguez, José María Potential product Argentina estimates VECM approach O40 Producto potencial Argentina estimaciones enfoque VECM O40 The potential product plays an essential role in the design and evaluation of an economic policy, and although the results obtained through the management of monetary and fiscal policy depend to a large extent on having reliable estimates, there is no consensus on the methodology of most appropriate estimate. This paper intends to contribute to this discussion for the Argentine case, making an estimate of the potential product through the structural method of the production function, considering two productive factors, labor and capital, combined through a Cobb-Douglas technology. The estimate is made using the VECM approach, and the estimated potential product is applied to the calculation of the output gap for Argentina. El producto potencial juega un rol esencial en el diseño y evaluación de una política económica, y si bien los resultados obtenidos mediante el manejo de la política monetaria y fiscal dependen en gran medida de contar con estimaciones confiables, no existe un consenso acerca de la metodología de estimación más apropiada. Este trabajo pretende contribuir a esta discusión para el caso argentino, realizando una estimación del producto potencial mediante el método estructural de la función de producción, considerando dos factores productivos, el trabajo y el capital, combinados a través de una tecnología Cobb-Douglas. La estimación se realiza utilizando el enfoque de los VECM, y al producto potencial estimado se lo aplica al cálculo de la brecha del producto para Argentina. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Instituto de Economía y Finanzas 2006-08-30 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Articles Artículos application/pdf https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/acteconomica/article/view/4024 Actualidad Económica; Vol. 16 No. 59 (2006): May-August Actualidad Económica; Vol. 16 Núm. 59 (2006): Mayo-Agosto 2250-754X 0327-585X spa https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/acteconomica/article/view/4024/3851 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0
spellingShingle Potential product
Argentina
estimates
VECM approach
O40
Producto potencial
Argentina
estimaciones
enfoque VECM
O40
Rodriguez, José María
An estimate of the output gap of Argentina
title An estimate of the output gap of Argentina
title_alt Una estimación de la brecha del producto de Argentina
title_full An estimate of the output gap of Argentina
title_fullStr An estimate of the output gap of Argentina
title_full_unstemmed An estimate of the output gap of Argentina
title_short An estimate of the output gap of Argentina
title_sort estimate of the output gap of argentina
topic Potential product
Argentina
estimates
VECM approach
O40
Producto potencial
Argentina
estimaciones
enfoque VECM
O40
topic_facet Potential product
Argentina
estimates
VECM approach
O40
Producto potencial
Argentina
estimaciones
enfoque VECM
O40
url https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/acteconomica/article/view/4024
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