Autoregressive vectors and the identification of monetary policy shocks in Argentina

In this paper we use Vector Autoregressions for the estimation of themacroeconomic effects of monetary policy in Argentina during the 1980´s and 1990´s. Special attention is given to problems associated with theidentification of monetary policy shocks due to potential omitted variablesbias, for whic...

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Main Author: Utrera, Gastón
Format: Online
Language:spa
Published: Instituto de Economía y Finanzas. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidada Nacional de Córdoba. 2004
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/3809
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author Utrera, Gastón
author_facet Utrera, Gastón
author_sort Utrera, Gastón
collection Portal de Revistas
description In this paper we use Vector Autoregressions for the estimation of themacroeconomic effects of monetary policy in Argentina during the 1980´s and 1990´s. Special attention is given to problems associated with theidentification of monetary policy shocks due to potential omitted variablesbias, for which we propose a way to address this issue.Granger causality tests, impulse-response functions, variance decompositionsand simulated forecast errors show big structural differences between the1980's and 1990's. Nevertheless, there is evidence in both periods aboutpotential contractive effects of expansive monetary policies, in line withprevious results obtained using error correction models.
format Online
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institution Universidad Nacional de Cordoba
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publishDate 2004
publisher Instituto de Economía y Finanzas. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidada Nacional de Córdoba.
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spelling oai:ojs.revistas.unc.edu.ar:article-38092022-04-06T23:17:54Z Autoregressive vectors and the identification of monetary policy shocks in Argentina Vectores autoregresivos e identificación de shocks de política monetaria en Argentina Utrera, Gastón vector autoregressions monetary policy monetary policy shocks Argentina vectores autoregresivos política monetaria shocks de política monetaria Argentina In this paper we use Vector Autoregressions for the estimation of themacroeconomic effects of monetary policy in Argentina during the 1980´s and 1990´s. Special attention is given to problems associated with theidentification of monetary policy shocks due to potential omitted variablesbias, for which we propose a way to address this issue.Granger causality tests, impulse-response functions, variance decompositionsand simulated forecast errors show big structural differences between the1980's and 1990's. Nevertheless, there is evidence in both periods aboutpotential contractive effects of expansive monetary policies, in line withprevious results obtained using error correction models. En este trabajo se utilizan vectores autoregresivos para estimar el efecto macroeconómico de la política monetaria en Argentina durante las décadas de 1980 y 1990. Se presta especial atención a la dificultad para identificar shocks de política monetaria dados los sesgos producidos por omisión de variables y se sugiere una vía para solucionar este problema de identificación. Tests de causalidad de Granger, funciones impulso-respuesta, descomposiciones de varianzas y simulaciones de errores de pronóstico son concluyentes acerca de grandes diferencias estructurales entre ambas décadas. Sin embargo, en ambos casos surge evidencia acerca de posibles efectos contractivos de políticas monetarias expansivas. Instituto de Economía y Finanzas. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidada Nacional de Córdoba. 2004-12-01 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/3809 10.55444/2451.7321.2004.v42.n2.3809 Revista de Economía y Estadística; Vol. 42 No. 2 (2004); 105-126 Revista de Economía y Estadística; Vol. 42 Núm. 2 (2004); 105-126 2451-7321 0034-8066 10.55444/2451.7321.2004.v42.n2 spa https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/3809/5008 Derechos de autor 2004 Gastón Utrera http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0
spellingShingle vector autoregressions
monetary policy
monetary policy shocks
Argentina
vectores autoregresivos
política monetaria
shocks de política monetaria
Argentina
Utrera, Gastón
Autoregressive vectors and the identification of monetary policy shocks in Argentina
title Autoregressive vectors and the identification of monetary policy shocks in Argentina
title_alt Vectores autoregresivos e identificación de shocks de política monetaria en Argentina
title_full Autoregressive vectors and the identification of monetary policy shocks in Argentina
title_fullStr Autoregressive vectors and the identification of monetary policy shocks in Argentina
title_full_unstemmed Autoregressive vectors and the identification of monetary policy shocks in Argentina
title_short Autoregressive vectors and the identification of monetary policy shocks in Argentina
title_sort autoregressive vectors and the identification of monetary policy shocks in argentina
topic vector autoregressions
monetary policy
monetary policy shocks
Argentina
vectores autoregresivos
política monetaria
shocks de política monetaria
Argentina
topic_facet vector autoregressions
monetary policy
monetary policy shocks
Argentina
vectores autoregresivos
política monetaria
shocks de política monetaria
Argentina
url https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/3809
work_keys_str_mv AT utreragaston autoregressivevectorsandtheidentificationofmonetarypolicyshocksinargentina
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