Determinants of party and mayor reelection in local governments: An empirical examination for Argentina during 1983-2011
This paper examines the determinants of reelection of parties and mayors in Argentine local elections during the 1983-2011 period. Using a unique and comprehensive database recording local elecion results for over 1200 local governments, we test three potential sources of variation: structural facto...
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Format: | Online |
Language: | eng |
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Instituto de Economía y Finanzas. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidada Nacional de Córdoba.
2018
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Online Access: | https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/29388 |
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author | Freille, Sebastián Mazzalay, Víctor Freille, Sebastián Mazzalay, Víctor |
author_facet | Freille, Sebastián Mazzalay, Víctor Freille, Sebastián Mazzalay, Víctor |
author_sort | Freille, Sebastián |
collection | Portal de Revistas |
description | This paper examines the determinants of reelection of parties and mayors in Argentine local elections during the 1983-2011 period. Using a unique and comprehensive database recording local elecion results for over 1200 local governments, we test three potential sources of variation: structural factors, polítical/institutional variables and economic variables. We find that incumbency advantage is strongly and significantly related with a higher probability of reelection. We also find some evidence supporting the economic voting hypothesis, that local economic conditions are relevant for explaining re-election of local governments. We also find that local governments where parties and mayors have been in office for a long time have greater re-election chances. Finally, we find that governments with municipal charters have lower probability of reelection. Summing up, there seems to be both economic and politico-institucional factors behind re-election rates of parties and mayors in Argentine local governments. |
format | Online |
id | oai:ojs.revistas.unc.edu.ar:article-29388 |
institution | Universidad Nacional de Cordoba |
language | eng |
publishDate | 2018 |
publisher | Instituto de Economía y Finanzas. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidada Nacional de Córdoba. |
record_format | ojs |
spelling | oai:ojs.revistas.unc.edu.ar:article-293882022-04-04T15:39:00Z Determinants of party and mayor reelection in local governments: An empirical examination for Argentina during 1983-2011 Determinantes de la reelección de partido y de intendente en los gobiernos locales: Un examen empírico de la Argentina durante 1983-2011 Freille, Sebastián Mazzalay, Víctor Freille, Sebastián Mazzalay, Víctor reelection transfers fiscal policy local governments H72 C23 C25 reelección transferencias política fiscal gobiernos locales H72 C23 C25 This paper examines the determinants of reelection of parties and mayors in Argentine local elections during the 1983-2011 period. Using a unique and comprehensive database recording local elecion results for over 1200 local governments, we test three potential sources of variation: structural factors, polítical/institutional variables and economic variables. We find that incumbency advantage is strongly and significantly related with a higher probability of reelection. We also find some evidence supporting the economic voting hypothesis, that local economic conditions are relevant for explaining re-election of local governments. We also find that local governments where parties and mayors have been in office for a long time have greater re-election chances. Finally, we find that governments with municipal charters have lower probability of reelection. Summing up, there seems to be both economic and politico-institucional factors behind re-election rates of parties and mayors in Argentine local governments. En el presente documento se examinan los factores determinantes de la reelección de partidos e intendentes en las elecciones locales de la Argentina durante el período 1983-2011. Utilizando una base de datos única y completa que registra los resultados de las eleciones locales para más de 1200 gobiernos locales, probamos tres fuentes potenciales de variación: factores estructurales, variables políticas/institucionales y variables económicas. Encontramos que la ventaja de la titularidad está fuertemente y significativamente relacionada con una mayor probabilidad de reelección. También encontramos algunas pruebas que apoyan la hipótesis del voto económico, de que las condiciones económicas locales son relevantes para explicar la reelección de los gobiernos locales. También encontramos que los gobiernos locales donde los partidos y los alcaldes han estado en el cargo durante mucho tiempo tienen mayores posibilidades de reelección. Por último, encontramos que los gobiernos con cartas municipales tienen menores probabilidades de reelección. En resumen, parece haber factores tanto económicos como político-institucionales detrás de las tasas de reelección de partidos y alcaldes en los gobiernos locales argentinos. Instituto de Economía y Finanzas. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidada Nacional de Córdoba. 2018-12-01 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/29388 10.55444/2451.7321.2018.v56.n1.29388 Revista de Economía y Estadística; Vol. 56 No. 1 (2018); 59-87 Revista de Economía y Estadística; Vol. 56 Núm. 1 (2018); 59-87 2451-7321 0034-8066 10.55444/2451.7321.2018.v56.n1 eng https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/29388/30187 Derechos de autor 2018 Sebastián Freille, Víctor Mazzalay http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 |
spellingShingle | reelection transfers fiscal policy local governments H72 C23 C25 reelección transferencias política fiscal gobiernos locales H72 C23 C25 Freille, Sebastián Mazzalay, Víctor Freille, Sebastián Mazzalay, Víctor Determinants of party and mayor reelection in local governments: An empirical examination for Argentina during 1983-2011 |
title | Determinants of party and mayor reelection in local governments: An empirical examination for Argentina during 1983-2011 |
title_alt | Determinantes de la reelección de partido y de intendente en los gobiernos locales: Un examen empírico de la Argentina durante 1983-2011 |
title_full | Determinants of party and mayor reelection in local governments: An empirical examination for Argentina during 1983-2011 |
title_fullStr | Determinants of party and mayor reelection in local governments: An empirical examination for Argentina during 1983-2011 |
title_full_unstemmed | Determinants of party and mayor reelection in local governments: An empirical examination for Argentina during 1983-2011 |
title_short | Determinants of party and mayor reelection in local governments: An empirical examination for Argentina during 1983-2011 |
title_sort | determinants of party and mayor reelection in local governments an empirical examination for argentina during 1983 2011 |
topic | reelection transfers fiscal policy local governments H72 C23 C25 reelección transferencias política fiscal gobiernos locales H72 C23 C25 |
topic_facet | reelection transfers fiscal policy local governments H72 C23 C25 reelección transferencias política fiscal gobiernos locales H72 C23 C25 |
url | https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/29388 |
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