The EU real exchange rates: A structural Bayesian VAR. A note.

In this paper we contribute to the long literature on the real exchange determination by estimating a Bayesian structural vector autoregressive model. We aim at identifying the effect on the EU-28 RER of shock originating in its main fundamental variables, namely, current account, government consump...

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Main Author: Cuestas, Juan C.
Format: Online
Language:eng
Published: Instituto de Economía y Finanzas. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidada Nacional de Córdoba. 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/29387
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author Cuestas, Juan C.
Cuestas, Juan C.
author_facet Cuestas, Juan C.
Cuestas, Juan C.
author_sort Cuestas, Juan C.
collection Portal de Revistas
description In this paper we contribute to the long literature on the real exchange determination by estimating a Bayesian structural vector autoregressive model. We aim at identifying the effect on the EU-28 RER of shock originating in its main fundamental variables, namely, current account, government consumptions, investment and real income. We find in most of the shocks that the RER moves away for long periods, proving yet again, that the purchasing power parity condition is rarely fulfilled empirically.        
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publisher Instituto de Economía y Finanzas. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidada Nacional de Córdoba.
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spelling oai:ojs.revistas.unc.edu.ar:article-293872022-04-04T15:39:00Z The EU real exchange rates: A structural Bayesian VAR. A note. Los tipos de cambio reales de la UE: Un VAR bayesiano estructural. Una nota. Cuestas, Juan C. Cuestas, Juan C. competitiveness european integration bayesian estimation real exchange rates C22 F15 competitividad integración europea estimación bayesiana tipos de cambios reales C22 F15 In this paper we contribute to the long literature on the real exchange determination by estimating a Bayesian structural vector autoregressive model. We aim at identifying the effect on the EU-28 RER of shock originating in its main fundamental variables, namely, current account, government consumptions, investment and real income. We find in most of the shocks that the RER moves away for long periods, proving yet again, that the purchasing power parity condition is rarely fulfilled empirically.         En este trabajo se contribuye a la larga literatura sobre la determinación del intercambio real mediante la estimación de un modelo autorregresivo del vector estructural bayesiano. Nuestro objetivo es identificar el efecto en la TRE de la UE-28 de los shocks originados en sus principales variables fundamentales, a saber, cuenta corriente, consumos del gobierno, inversión e ingresos reales. Encontramos en la mayoría de las perturbaciones que la TRE se aleja durante largos períodos, lo que demuestra una vez más, que la condición de paridad de poder adquisitivo rara vez se cumple empíricamente. Instituto de Economía y Finanzas. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidada Nacional de Córdoba. 2018-12-01 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/29387 10.55444/2451.7321.2018.v56.n1.29387 Revista de Economía y Estadística; Vol. 56 No. 1 (2018); 43-57 Revista de Economía y Estadística; Vol. 56 Núm. 1 (2018); 43-57 2451-7321 0034-8066 10.55444/2451.7321.2018.v56.n1 eng https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/29387/30186 Derechos de autor 2018 Juan Carlos Cuestas http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0
spellingShingle competitiveness
european integration
bayesian estimation
real exchange rates
C22
F15
competitividad
integración europea
estimación bayesiana
tipos de cambios reales
C22
F15
Cuestas, Juan C.
Cuestas, Juan C.
The EU real exchange rates: A structural Bayesian VAR. A note.
title The EU real exchange rates: A structural Bayesian VAR. A note.
title_alt Los tipos de cambio reales de la UE: Un VAR bayesiano estructural. Una nota.
title_full The EU real exchange rates: A structural Bayesian VAR. A note.
title_fullStr The EU real exchange rates: A structural Bayesian VAR. A note.
title_full_unstemmed The EU real exchange rates: A structural Bayesian VAR. A note.
title_short The EU real exchange rates: A structural Bayesian VAR. A note.
title_sort eu real exchange rates a structural bayesian var a note
topic competitiveness
european integration
bayesian estimation
real exchange rates
C22
F15
competitividad
integración europea
estimación bayesiana
tipos de cambios reales
C22
F15
topic_facet competitiveness
european integration
bayesian estimation
real exchange rates
C22
F15
competitividad
integración europea
estimación bayesiana
tipos de cambios reales
C22
F15
url https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/29387
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