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This book is a full-scale exposition of Charles Manski's new methodology for analyzing empirical questions in the social sciences. He recommends that researchers first ask what can be learned from data alone, and then ask what can be learned when data are combined with credible weak assumptions...
|a Manski, Charles F.
|q (Charles Frererick),
|d 1948-
|9 423
245
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0
|a Identification for prediction and decision /
|c Charles F. Manski.
260
|a Cambridge, Mass. :
|b Harvard University Press,
|c 2007
300
|a xiv, 348 p.
504
|a Bibliografía: p. 321-337.
505
|a Contenido: Preface -- Introduction -- 1. Prediction with incomplete data: 1. Conditional prediction -- 2. Missing outcomes -- 3. Instrumental variables -- 4. Parametric prediction -- 5. Decomposition of mixtures -- 6. Response-based sampling -- 2. Analysis of treatment response: 7. The selection problem -- 8. Linear simultaneous equations -- 9. Monotone treatment response -- 10. The mixing problem -- 11. Planning under ambiguity -- 12. Planning with sample data -- 3. Predicting choice behavior: 13. Revealed preference analysis -- 14. Measuring expectations -- 15. Studying human decision processes -- References -- Author index -- Subject index.
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|a This book is a full-scale exposition of Charles Manski's new methodology for analyzing empirical questions in the social sciences. He recommends that researchers first ask what can be learned from data alone, and then ask what can be learned when data are combined with credible weak assumptions. Inferences predicated on weak assumptions, he argues, can achieve wide consensus, while ones that require strong assumptions almost inevitably are subject to sharp disagreements.Building on the foundation laid in the author's "Identification Problems in the Social Sciences" (Harvard, 1995), the book's fifteen chapters are organized in three parts. Part I studies prediction with missing or otherwise incomplete data. Part II concerns the analysis of treatment response, which aims to predict outcomes when alternative treatment rules are applied to a population. Part III studies prediction of choice behaviour.Each chapter juxtaposes developments of methodology with empirical or numerical illustrations. The book employs a simple notation and mathematical apparatus, using only basic elements of probability theory.
|b Review: Charles Manski is a highly original and influential voice in econometrics. His work on partial identification and nonparametric bounds now holds a central position in many areas of theoretical and applied research. This comprehensive yet accessible text brings together the author's research on incomplete data, on treatment response and on choice behavior. It is an important contribution to our knowledge and will stand as a key reference for students and researchers for years to come.--Richard Blundell, University College London
